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BCA Research predicts France will win World Cup 2026

Yahoo Sports • 1 min read • Latest: Jun 10, 2026, 5:01 AM

Last updated Jun 10, 2026

BCA Research predicts France will win World Cup 2026

Summary

The 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off Thursday in Mexico City, with Canadian firm BCA Research predicting France will win the tournament. Their model, which has accurately forecast results in past World Cups, suggests France will defeat Portugal in the final. BCA assessed factors such as player ratings, team dynamics, and historical performances, concluding that France possesses the strongest squad with a market value of €1.476 billion. Spain is expected to face France in a tight semi-final, while Portugal is projected to overcome England in the other semi-final matchup, driven by specific roster decisions. The analysis underscores France's setup and depth as crucial advantages.

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By the Numbers

•The tournament opens on Thursday in Mexico City.
•BCA Research forecasts France beating Portugal in the final.
•Spain and Portugal are expected to reach the semi-finals.
•France's squad has the highest market value among participants.
•France's chances bolstered by robust player and team analysis.

Latest Updates

5:01 AMYahoo Sports — World Cup 2026: Market analysts who called it twice have picked a new winner

What they're saying

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Canadian investment research firm BCA Research has applied the same statistical rigour it uses to analyse global markets to predict the outcome of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which kicks off on Thursday in Mexico City.View on euronews
— Yahoo Sports

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