ESPN predicts Florida State's 2026 football schedule outcomes
Yahoo Sports • 1 min read • Latest: Aug 25, 2026, 5:45 PM
Last updated Aug 25, 2026

Florida State is preparing to open its 2026 season against New Mexico State on August 29 at Doak Campbell Stadium. According to ESPN’s Matchup Predictor, the Seminoles could finish the season with a record of 5-7, mirroring the previous year's outcome. The model indicates Florida State is favored to win against New Mexico State but has close matchups against teams like SMU, Clemson, and Pittsburgh. The projected probabilities suggest several games could be competitive, with the Seminoles holding less than a 50% chance of winning in key contests.
- •Florida State opens the season on August 29 against New Mexico State.
- •ESPN projects FSU's record at 5-7.
- •Matchups with SMU and Clemson are expected to be competitive.
- •FSU favored in home games against New Mexico State and Central Arkansas.
- •Next game after New Mexico State is against No. 19 SMU on September 7.
- 5:45 PMYahoo Sports — ESPN predicts every game on FSU’s 2026 schedule
"ESPN’s Matchup Predictor projects Florida State game by game through the 2026 season, with the Seminoles finishing 5-7.
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