Historical data sets high expectations for Titans receiver Carnell Tate
2 sources • 1 min read • Latest: Sep 10, 2026, 11:00 AM
Last updated Sep 10, 2026

The Tennessee Titans selected receiver Carnell Tate with the fourth overall pick in the 2026 NFL draft. His high draft position creates immediate expectations for production, as wide receivers selected in the top 10 from 2015 to 2025 averaged 767 receiving yards during their rookie seasons. While Tate demonstrated consistent ball skills and route-running at Ohio State, his collegiate output was tempered by sharing targets with Jeremiah Smith. History shows that receivers taken in the top 10 are significantly more likely to exceed 800 yards as rookies compared to those selected later in the first round. The team now relies on Tate to expand his workload as he transitions to professional play. The Titans expect him to produce in a starting role alongside fellow early pick Jordyn Tyson.
- •Tennessee drafted Carnell Tate fourth overall in the 2026 NFL draft.
- •Top-10 receivers from 2015 to 2025 averaged 767 yards in their rookie seasons.
- •Tate caught 85.7% of contested targets during his final season at Ohio State.
- •Recent historical trends suggest early picks are expected to clear 800 receiving yards.
- 11:00 AMCBS NFL — Was Carnell Tate worth the No. 4 pick? What history says about expectations for the 2026 first-round WRs
"Recent history shows top-10 wide receivers average 767 yards as rookies, raising the bar for Carnell Tate after the Titans invested the No. 4 pick in the Ohio State standout
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