Joachim Klement's World Cup prediction streak ends with Dutch exit
The Guardian Sport • 1 min read • Latest: Jun 30, 2026, 4:18 PM
Last updated Jun 30, 2026
Economist Joachim Klement's successful streak of predicting World Cup winners has ended following the Netherlands' elimination from the tournament. Klement's models had forecasted that Ronald Koeman's squad would secure victory this year. Previously, he accurately predicted the 2014, 2018, and 2022 champions: Germany, France, and Argentina. This year’s unexpected outcomes in the knockout stages contribute to the unpredictability of the competition. Klement expressed disappointment over the failure of his predictions as the tournament progresses.
- •Klement predicted Dutch victory but they were eliminated.
- •He accurately predicted the last three World Cup champions.
- •His analysis included economic models for forecasting outcomes.
- •The knockout stages have featured several surprising results.
- •Klement's predictions had garnered attention in prior tournaments.
- 4:18 PMThe Guardian Sport — ‘I ran out of luck’: Dutch defeat ends economist’s run of World Cup winning predictions
"Joachim Klement’s model had predicted Dutch glory Neymar takes jab after Brazil defy Klement prediction As shocks come thick and fast in the knockout stages of the World Cup’s last 32, arguably the biggest of them all lies off the field and at the door of the economist and football forecaster Joachim Klement, who has failed to predict the winning nation for the first time in four editions of the men’s tournament. After correctly predicting Germany, France and Argentina would go on to lift the trophy in 2014, 2018 and 2022 respectively, Klement’s run is over after his “economic models” pointed him in the direction of Ronald Koeman’s Netherlands side this year. Continue reading...
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