NFL teams expected to underperform in 2026 based on prior seasons
Yahoo Sports • 1 min read • Latest: Aug 30, 2026, 3:16 PM
Last updated Aug 30, 2026

Six NFL teams that overachieved in 2025 are predicted to face tougher challenges in 2026. The Denver Broncos, New England Patriots, Jacksonville Jaguars, Chicago Bears, and Pittsburgh Steelers are highlighted due to their reliance on favorable conditions that may not repeat. For instance, the Broncos compiled a 14-3 record but will confront a harder schedule this fall, while New England faces playoff teams instead of easier opponents. Each team's circumstances, from aging quarterbacks to competitive divisions, suggest a decrease in win-loss records. The Carolina Panthers, who also had a surprising playoff run, are included in discussions around potential regression for next season.
- •Denver Broncos predicted to drop to a 10-7 record.
- •New England Patriots also expected to finish at 10-7.
- •Jacksonville Jaguars may decline to 9-8 after a 13-4 season.
- •Chicago Bears likely to fall to 8-9 amidst tougher competition.
- •Pittsburgh Steelers forecasted to finish 7-10 with an aging roster.
- 3:16 PMYahoo Sports — 6 overrated NFL teams most likely to have a worse record in 2026
"Six teams overachieved in 2025. A tougher schedule, an aging quarterback and a stack of injuries explain why none of them repeat it.
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