Patriots ranked 14th in ESPN's preseason Football Power Index for 2026
Yahoo Sports • 1 min read • Latest: Jun 3, 2026, 3:35 PM
Last updated Jun 3, 2026
The New England Patriots enter the 2026 season ranked No. 14 in ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), with a projected scoring margin of +1.4. Despite a 14-3 record last season and an AFC championship, the Patriots are the first team to start outside the top 10 after making a Super Bowl since 2015. Factors affecting their ranking include a weak schedule in 2025 and their performance against playoff teams. The Buffalo Bills lead the division with a 67.6% chance of winning the AFC East, while the Patriots have a 30.6% chance. Analysts view the Patriots as long-shot contenders for Super Bowl success in 2026.
- •Patriots had a 14-3 record and won the AFC championship last season.
- •They rank behind teams that missed the playoffs including Cowboys and Bengals.
- •The Bills are favored to win the AFC East with a 67.6% chance.
- •Patriots' Super Bowl chances are estimated at 6.7% for 2026.
- •They lead the league in EPA per play on offense despite a weak schedule.
- 3:35 PMYahoo Sports — Patriots Rank Shockingly Low In ESPN's Preseason Football Power Index
"The reigning AFC champions are outside the top 10 of ESPN's rating system.
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