Predictive model forecasts Michigan State missing bowl game in 2026

Yahoo Sports1 min read • Latest: Jun 23, 2026, 12:34 AM

Last updated Jun 23, 2026

Predictive model forecasts Michigan State missing bowl game in 2026
Summary

ESPN's SP+ predictive model has Michigan State averaging 4.4 wins for the upcoming football season. This projection is in line with their performance last year, where they also totaled four wins. Key players who left via the transfer portal have contributed to the model's pessimism about their success. The new coaching staff under head coach Pat Fitzgerald may need standout performances to improve the outlook, as the Spartans aim for bowl eligibility for the first time since 2021.

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By the Numbers
  • Michigan State projected at 4.4 wins in 2026 by ESPN's SP+ algorithm.
  • Model mirrors Spartans' four-win record from the previous season.
  • Loss of key contributors via transfer portal affected projections.
  • New head coach Pat Fitzgerald seeks improvements for the upcoming season.
  • Spartans have not reached bowl eligibility since 2021.
Latest Updates
  • 12:34 AMYahoo SportsPopular predictive model has Spartans missing bowl game again in 2026
What they're saying
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A popular college football predictive algorithm has Michigan State struggling again this season

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