League: MLB Sport: Baseball Country: United States Category: Scores & Results

Reds, Rays, and Padres outperform expectations in 2026 MLB season

Yahoo Sports • 1 min read • Latest: Sep 29, 2026, 10:17 AM

Last updated Sep 29, 2026

Reds, Rays, and Padres outperform expectations in 2026 MLB season

Summary

The Cincinnati Reds, although missing the playoffs, finished 75-87, exceeding their expected wins by 9.8 games. The Tampa Bay Rays, who won the American League East, surpassed their expectation by 7.8 games with 82 wins. The San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies also exceeded their predicted performances. Conversely, the Detroit Tigers underperformed the most, finishing 76-86 and missing their expectation by 12.6 games. The playoffs are set to begin, with discussions on how teams' expected wins may influence outcomes in October.

Source Links

Yahoo Sports

By the Numbers

•Reds exceeded win expectations by 9.8 games.
•Rays won AL East, surpassing their expectation by 7.8 games.
•Tigers missed expectations by 12.6 games, the largest discrepancy.
•Seeding and matchups for playoffs could be influenced by performance metrics.

Latest Updates

10:17 AMYahoo Sports — MLB playoffs 2026: Which teams are better than their records say?

What they're saying

"
The Reds and Rays won far more than their run totals predicted. In 209 playoff series since 2000, expected wins picked the winner 57.9% of the time.
— Yahoo Sports

Related Teams & Leagues

Chicago Cubs Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies Detroit Tigers Los Angeles Angels New York Yankees MLB Baseball