Socceroos approach final group match against Paraguay, poised for knockout stage
The Guardian Sport • 1 min read • Latest: Jun 23, 2026, 12:19 AM
Last updated Jun 23, 2026

The Socceroos will face Paraguay in their final group game on Thursday (Friday AEST), needing a result to secure a place in the last 32 of the World Cup. Currently, Australia is in a favorable position, with a 94% likelihood of progressing according to simulations by Opta. They began the tournament with a 59% chance of advancing, highlighting the significance of their earlier victory against Turkey. Legislating a pragmatic approach against Paraguay might lead to a mutually beneficial outcome for both teams.
- •Socceroos play Paraguay on Thursday (Friday AEST)
- •Australia holds a 94% chance of advancing to round of 32
- •Earlier win against Turkey crucial for qualifying chances
- •Match could hinge on strategic approach by both teams
- 12:19 AMThe Guardian Sport — World Cup Group D permutations: supercomputer says Socceroos will progress
"Even a narrow defeat against Paraguay in their final group game should be enough to earn a place in the last 32, where Belgium may await Cowards, pragmatists or stoic idealists: the Socceroos must decide this week how much they dare anger the footballing gods. They approach their final group match on Thursday (Friday AEST) against Paraguay in the box seat to progress to the knockout round, but also with a chance to negotiate with their opponents to do a sensible if unseemly deal that mutually benefits them both. In almost 94% of simulations of the World Cup by sports data agency Opta, Australia will progress to the round of 32. At the start of the tournament, Opta assessed Australia’s chances of progressing at 59%, underscoring just how important the three points against Turkey were. Continue reading...
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