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Supercomputer predicts Spain as favorite for World Cup 2026

Yahoo Sports • 1 min read • Latest: Jun 11, 2026, 9:25 AM

Last updated Jun 11, 2026

Supercomputer predicts Spain as favorite for World Cup 2026

Summary

As the 2026 World Cup approaches, hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico, Spain emerges as the favorite according to a supercomputer simulation. Opta's analysis suggests Spain has a 16.1% chance of winning after simulating the tournament 25,000 times. Argentina, the defending champions led by Lionel Messi, follows with a 10.4% chance. Historical performance favors nations with prior World Cup wins, as seven former champions collectively hold a 64.1% probability of success. The tournament features 48 teams competing for the title, with the kickoff less than a month away.

Source Links

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By the Numbers

•Opta supercomputer ranks Spain as 1st with 16.1% win probability
•Argentina is 2nd with a 10.4% chance
•Only Brazil and Germany exceed 5% win probability
•Tournament will feature 48 teams competing for World Cup
•Kickoff set for next month

Latest Updates

9:25 AMYahoo Sports — World Cup 2026: supercomputer backs Spain, former stars favour Argentina

What they're saying

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A member of France’s 1998 World Cup-winning team and the Italian defender who scored in the 2006 final shared their expectations with Euronews
— Yahoo Sports

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Champions League Soccer