Netherlands seek World Cup success amid sports forecasting history

The Guardian Sport2 min read • Latest: Jun 26, 2026, 2:42 PM

Last updated Jun 26, 2026

Netherlands seek World Cup success amid sports forecasting history
Summary

As the World Cup unfolds, the Netherlands aim for glory, rekindling interest in animal predictions first popularized by Paul the Octopus. Since Paul, various creatures have made predictions, though none have matched his success. Current discussions highlight language nuances in sports terminology, particularly in German and Finnish. The tournament continues with teams striving to secure their place in the knockout stages.

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By the Numbers
  • Netherlands competing in the World Cup this summer.
  • Paul the Octopus remains a famed sports forecaster from 2010.
  • Different animal predictors have less success than Paul.
  • Language differences in sports terms noted in recent discussions.
  • Teams are vying for advancement as the tournament progresses.
Latest Updates
  • 2:42 PMThe Guardian SportAnimal instinct and maths boost Netherlands’ hopes of World Cup glory
What they're saying
"

When Paul the Octopus sadly died at an aquarium in Germany in 2010, there was a massive void to fill in the World Cup prediction space. It seemed a huge ask to find a tipster on the same level as the eight-legged maverick one-off. Others tried but Leon the Porcupine, Anton the Tamarin and Petty the Pygmy Hippopotamus were all woefully wide of the mark; this was no golden generation of animal oracles. Things turned dark in 2018 when a new octopus, Rabio, appeared on the scene but was killed by a Japanese fisher despite the sea-dwelling savant getting it right with all three of the Samurai Blue’s group games. Big Website still has a lot of players ‘writing themselves into the history books’. Surely given the state of books (and history) we need to come up with a new term like ‘entered themselves at the datacentre’ or ‘input themselves into a field on a spreadsheet on the Opta supercomputer’?” – Michael Hill. Given that the (somewhat logical) German words for semi-final, etc are worthy of a letter o’ the day (yesterday’s Football Daily letters), here by contrast are the somewhat odd Finnish terms. A final is an ‘end match’ (loppuottelu) but recently the boring ‘final’ (finaali) is often used. A semi-final is a välierä, where erä is round and väli is intermediate. So a rather vague ‘intermediate round’. So far so good, perhaps, but a quarter-final is a puolivälierä = a half välierä or in other words a ‘half intermediate round’. The round of 16 is then a ‘a quarter intermediate round’, a neljännesvälierä” – Mike Walsh. Continue reading...

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