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Ohio State ESPN playoff probability updates following Week 1 victory

Yahoo Sports • 1 min read • Latest: Sep 7, 2026, 6:47 PM

Last updated Sep 7, 2026

Ohio State ESPN playoff probability updates following Week 1 victory

Summary

Following a 56-3 victory against Ball State on September 5, the Ohio State football program holds a 1-0 record. The computer model used by ESPN has adjusted its remaining game-by-game win probabilities based on this season-opening performance. Analysts project an 11-1 record for the Buckeyes, with the only projected loss occurring in an upcoming road game against Texas on September 12. The team retains high win probabilities for upcoming matchups against Kent State, Illinois, and Iowa throughout the remainder of September and early October. The schedule ahead includes significant road games at Texas, Indiana, USC, and Nebraska, alongside home games against Oregon and Michigan.

Source Links

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By the Numbers

•Ohio State holds a 1-0 record after defeating Ball State 56-3 on September 5.
•ESPN projects Ohio State to finish the regular season with an 11-1 record.
•The team’s win probability for the November 7 home game against Oregon rose to 80.6%.
•Texas remains the only opponent currently favored to win against Ohio State in the ESPN model.
•The Buckeyes play their next game on September 12 at Texas.

Latest Updates

6:47 PMYahoo Sports — Ohio State updated remaining game-by-game ESPN predictions after Wek 1

What they're saying

"
Ohio State more than took care of business in Week 1 vs. Ball State. How did that and other games impact how ESPN predicts the rest of the schedule?
— Yahoo Sports

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